The evidence

The numbers behind the proposal

Every figure in the case for redeveloping the downtown waterfront, with the document it came from. Where two of the town’s own records disagree, both are shown. Nothing here is an estimate unless it says so.

Four questions this record can answer

  1. Can the town responsibly establish the fund?
  2. How far below its apparent capacity is the waterfront holding performing?
  3. What return is estimated, and which assumptions produce it?
  4. Which figures are facts, calculations, estimates, concepts, or proposals?

Recorded facts come from the cited public records. Calculations disclose their inputs. PIA estimates are not commitments. Development concepts and proposals remain subject to investigation and public approval.

Audited fiscal position

General fund, from the independent auditor’s reports for the years ended 31 December. These figures provide financial-readiness context; establishing an Economic Development Fund does not set a funding level or authorize spending.

$2,035,066unassigned fund balance, 2025
7.8 monthsof general fund spending in reserve
2 monthsGFOA recommended minimum
+50%growth in unassigned balance since 2021
Year endedUnassigned AssignedTotal fund balance Expenditures
2021$1,361,602$985,023$2,346,624$3,586,935
2022$1,629,854$1,152,748$2,782,602$2,153,471
2023$1,390,410$1,127,312$2,517,722$2,379,198
2024$1,918,873$1,132,476$3,051,349$2,844,778
2025$2,035,066$894,974$2,930,040$3,130,855

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Where the money comes from and goes

General fund, FY2025. Total revenues $3,155,641 against total expenditures $3,130,855.

LineFY2025
Property taxes collected$1,946,748
Education assessment$1,111,258
County tax$221,428
Total expenditures$3,130,855

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Certified tax roll and valuation history

Mill rate, valuation, and commitment, 2025 back to 2018 — peak mill rate was 24.50 in 2021.

19.50mill rate, 2025 — down from 24.05 in 2018
$99,046,600total real estate valuation — up from $67,950,200 in 2018
Fiscal yearMill rate Total real estate value Real estate commitment
201824.05$67,950,200$1,543,353
201923.05$74,530,900$1,607,134
202023.75$74,572,500$1,628,533
202124.50$78,203,900$1,726,861
202224.50$80,719,200$1,831,067
202323.75$85,203,400$1,757,055
202422.50$97,023,600$2,043,338
202519.50$99,046,600$1,809,436

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The waterfront parcels

The former starch factory holding: 6 contiguous parcels on the Mattawamkeag River. Five of the parcels stand in a single company’s name and one in the name of an individual. All six give the same mailing address, which is what establishes that the holding is under common control.

10.57acres, 6 parcels
3,265 ftriver frontage
$513,400total assessed value
$10,011.30property tax, FY2025
Map–lotAcres Assessed valueTax Riverfront feet
002-0185.24$417,800$8,147.102,759
002-0140.89$29,700$579.150
003-0223.00$29,500$575.25507
003-0230.36$16,500$321.750
002-0160.51$10,700$208.650
002-0150.57$9,200$179.400
Total10.57 $513,400$10,011.30 3,265

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Ownership history

12 years, several owners, no redevelopment.

Recorded transfers of the holding, priced sales only. Transfers recorded at no consideration — internal corporate reorganizations — are omitted.

Transfer datePrice
2009-08-24$142,500
2015-12-09$3,000
2017-11-15$150,000
2021-12-06$2,000

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State revenue and town profile

770population, July 2024 census estimate
$121,850,0002026 state valuation
$334,621revenue sharing received in 2025
$378,619projected for FY2027
Calendar yearRevenue Sharing I Revenue Sharing IITotal
2018$41,499$17,470$58,968
2019$56,617$23,431$80,049
2020$78,947$31,947$110,894
2021$118,669$45,868$164,536
2022$156,768$61,118$217,886
2023$167,286$80,737$248,023
2024$179,418$121,775$301,192
2025$185,328$149,293$334,621
2026 *$88,841$75,701$164,543

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The return calculation, in full

This is the only forward-looking number in the proposal, and it is deliberately the narrowest one available.

$67,989additional property tax per year, if the scenario holds
$2,039,661over thirty years, undiscounted
LineValue
Property tax on the holding today, FY2025$10,011.30
Assumed improvements$4,000,000
Mill rate applied19.50
Resulting annual property tax$78,000
Additional tax per year$67,989
Over thirty years, undiscounted$2,039,661

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Estimate — not committed
A project scenario, not a commitment or funding request. PIA Industries estimates that a viable redevelopment could involve $4,000,000 in private capital. PIA Industries' estimate of private capital that would follow a visible town commitment. No investor has committed, and none will before the town acts. It is not grant money, it is not pledged, and it should not be counted on until it is signed. This estimate does not set a town funding level, promise outside investment, or authorize a project. The tax calculation above assumes that investment arrives; if it does not, neither does the return.

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Sources and method

No figure on this page is typed by hand. Each is extracted from the source document listed below by a published script and regenerated whenever a source changes, so this page and the presentation given to the Selectboard cannot drift apart.

FiguresSource document
Fund balance, revenues, expenditures Town of Island Falls, Independent Auditor’s Report and Financial Statements, years ended 31 December 2021–2025
Mill rate, commitment, valuation history Town of Island Falls annual tax commitment books, 2018–2025
Parcel acreage, value, tax, frontage FY2025 Town of Island Falls assessing record
Ownership and sale history Maine real estate transfer tax declarations, Maine Revenue Services
Revenue sharing, population, state valuation Maine State Treasurer — monthly distributions and the FY2027 projection workbook
Island Bridge Community Park award Town of Island Falls grant award notice
Trail system, funding and timeline Outdoor Sport Institute, as reported February 2026; Town of Island Falls comprehensive plan (2021); Katahdin Collaborative, A Roadmap to the Future (2019)

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Notes and sources

Where each figure came from, and how it was worked out.

  1. Source: Town of Island Falls, Independent Auditor’s Report and Financial Statements, Statement 3 (balance sheet, governmental funds) and Statement 4 (revenues, expenditures and changes in fund balances), 2021–2025.
  2. On the reserve figure. Fund spending swings with capital and grant activity, so months-of-reserve depends on the denominator. Both are shown; the lower one is quoted throughout.
    • Against FY2025 expenditures ($3,130,855): 7.8 months
    • Against the five-year average: 8.7 months
    The Government Finance Officers Association recommends a minimum of 2 months.
  3. Source: Statement 4, FY2025 audited financial statements.
  4. Why this matters to the proposal. Education and county assessments consume most of what property taxes bring in, and neither is set by the Selectboard. The part of the budget the town controls is small — which is why growing the tax base matters more than trimming spending.
  5. Source: Town of Island Falls annual tax commitment books, 2018–2025. The commitment column is real estate only; the certified commitment of $1,846,878.24 for FY2025 also includes personal property.
  6. Uncollected real estate tax. $335,496 across 501 accounts remains committed but uncollected.
  7. Source: FY2025 Town of Island Falls assessing record and commitment book. Any of these parcels can be looked up independently, without an account, at piaindustries.com/quattro/lookup/.
  8. How this holding was identified. No field in the assessing record labels these parcels as the starch factory. They were identified by tracing recorded transfers from National Starch to the current owner, then matching that owner to the FY2025 assessing record. The chain of title below lets that identification be checked.
  9. Why a map may show a larger number. One further parcel sits inside the site footprint and is deliberately not in the table above: 002-017, 0.88 acres. It carries no owner, no account and no valuation in the FY2025 assessing record, so there is no document naming who holds it. Selecting the whole footprint in a mapping tool therefore returns 7 polygons and 11.45 acres, not 6 and 10.57. Every total on this page uses the smaller, documented figure, because acreage nobody can produce a record for should not be counted in a total put in front of a selectboard. Establishing title to 002-017 is part of the work the fund would pay for.
  10. Scale. Parcel 002-018 is on its own the 15th most valuable mapped parcel in Island Falls, of 1,079 mapped parcels carrying $92,533,000 in total assessed value. The whole holding is 0.55% of that total.
  11. Source: Maine real estate transfer tax declarations, Maine Revenue Services public lookup.
  12. The site changed hands at 2009 prices and again in 2021 without a project resulting. That record is the evidence for the claim that private capital alone will not resolve this site — not an opinion about the owners.
  13. Source: Maine State Treasurer, monthly municipal revenue sharing distributions, and the FY2027 revenue sharing projection workbook. Years marked * are partial. State valuation is reported by the Treasurer in thousands and has been converted to dollars here.
  14. Read this carefully. Revenue sharing has grown 5.7× since 2018, from $58,968 to $334,621. Most of that growth is Revenue Sharing II, which pays more to towns with a high property-tax burden relative to the state — so the increase measures taxpayer strain, not municipal success.
  15. Every assumption behind that figure:
    • $4,000,000 is invested in the site. That is PIA Industries' estimate of the private capital a town commitment would unlock, not money anyone has committed.
    • Assessed value of the completed project equals the amount invested. Assessors may value it above or below cost.
    • FY2025 certified mill rate of 19.50 held constant.
    • Excludes any TIF capture, any lift in abutting property values, and all excise and visitor spending.
  16. What is deliberately excluded. Any increase in the value of abutting downtown parcels; excise tax from visitors; and all spending at local businesses. Each is real and each is plausibly larger than the property tax effect above. All are excluded because none can be traced to a document — and everything on this page can.
  17. Grant precedent, for comparison. The town’s Island Bridge Community Park project carried a total cost of $3,510,000, of which $2,808,000 was awarded in grant funding — 80% — leaving a town share of $702,000. Source: Town of Island Falls grant award notice.
  18. Check any parcel yourself. Island Falls assessment records are public and searchable without an account at piaindustries.com/quattro/lookup/ — by owner name, address, or map and lot.
  19. Compiled by PIA Industries · last regenerated 2026-07-26